Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.408641 4.890313 5.405128 5.996769 6.658519 7.376552 8.215577
2026-01-25 3.561093 4.213012 4.959078 5.878078 6.982469 8.270418 9.891405
2026-02-01 2.981967 3.717653 4.607927 5.769121 7.250401 9.085637 11.545475
2026-02-08 2.561429 3.336408 4.319218 5.664660 7.470517 9.827156 13.162732
2026-02-15 2.264101 3.062855 4.117770 5.624164 7.738315 10.626756 14.918135
2026-02-22 2.084596 2.917505 4.058481 5.751255 8.225548 11.751106 17.228650
2026-03-01 1.890285 2.726023 3.908468 5.723380 8.474278 12.544649 19.129383
2026-03-08 1.688817 2.501123 3.683928 5.555363 8.485915 12.972200 20.500700
2026-03-15 1.547735 2.349996 3.550119 5.504088 8.659757 13.649489 22.321293
2026-03-22 1.468338 2.283836 3.536092 5.632561 9.122030 14.817568 25.064011
2026-03-29 1.398265 2.224756 3.525595 5.761635 9.591647 16.035356 28.018376
2026-04-05 1.312545 2.132356 3.452316 5.777214 9.866676 16.943672 30.518524
2026-04-12 1.217216 2.018227 3.336943 5.716016 10.011982 17.656934 32.780322
2026-04-19 1.126078 1.903785 3.211650 5.626012 10.097085 18.271099 34.931664
2026-04-26 1.043444 1.797112 3.090557 5.531490 10.162758 18.852788 37.085553
2026-05-03 0.968839 1.698399 2.975002 5.435544 10.214133 19.408359 39.247538
2026-05-10 0.910147 1.623375 2.895366 5.398439 10.372689 20.183885 41.952350
2026-05-17 0.878974 1.595875 2.899651 5.520762 10.854894 21.650307 46.307599
2026-05-24 0.830461 1.532243 2.831346 5.494382 11.032632 22.508334 49.427489
2026-05-31 0.769251 1.439992 2.701617 5.333687 10.916093 22.733469 51.135938
2026-06-07 0.726639 1.380371 2.630143 5.284656 11.028878 23.458604 54.089370
2026-06-14 0.706752 1.363685 2.641427 5.407653 11.523338 25.071460 59.367738
2026-06-21 0.687979 1.347749 2.652760 5.531207 12.030067 26.763280 65.061453